A Labour Party supporter holds her sign in front of a
National Party supporter as the two groups clash in
Cathedral Square, Christchurch, before the arrival of
National leader John Key. Photo from NZ Herald.
National Party leader John Key showed yesterday he is a
fast learner when he set off early from Auckland on a campaign
tour that stretched from Auckland, Napier, Taupo, Nelson and
Christchurch before heading back to Auckland.
In the last days of the United States presidential race, both
president-elect Barack Obama and Republican candidate John
McCain were on the road 24 hours a day shoring up every
possible vote.
Mr Obama was even seen working the phones in campaign
headquarters across must-win states.
Mr Key said in the last leaders' debate on Wednesday that he
regarded Mr Obama's victory as a sign of change and he wasted
no time in adopting the same tactics.
Today, he will be doing another sweep of the northern part of
the country, pressing the flesh.
Prime Minister Helen Clark was in South Auckland as the
Labour Party finally woke up to the fact that Maori and
Polynesian voters were less than enthusiastic about voting
again for Labour.
And while National had former All Blacks Michael Jones and
Va'aiga Tuigamala for support this week, Labour had league
legends Stacey Jones and Wairangi Koopu.
Miss Clark bumped into Stacey Jones during a walkabout in a
Manukau City mall and he said he had come along to support
her.
"She's been a great supporter of league," he told reporters.
"She's always given her best wishes to all the teams I've
been involved with."
In turn, the prime minister said she had known him since he
was in the juniors.
"I've watched his career for many, many years."
Veteran Warriors player Koopu said he supported Labour,
although he was thinking about the Maori Party because he
wanted to ensure the Maori seats in Parliament stayed as they
were.
Celebrity endorsements can be important in the last moments
of a campaign and Miss Clark and Mr Key showed this week they
are not above using that tactic to woo the all important
Maori and Polynesian voters of South Auckland.
But it will probably all come down to how the rest of the
country feels and Taking the Pulse found during nearly three
weeks on the road that there is a mood for change among a
wide selection of voters.
Voters across the spectrum want to see New Zealand First
leader Winston Peters lose tomorrow although no-one really
totally dislikes NZ First the party.
Mr Peters is expected to lose again in Tauranga, this time to
new National Party candidate Simon Bridges.
Last time, he lost to Bob "the builder" Clarkson, in a
campaign that ended in court.
An important electorate to watch will be Rimutaka, where NZ
First MP Ron Mark rates his chances highly.
Mr Mark is facing off against a new Labour Party candidate,
who is defending a huge majority built up by retiring MP Paul
Swain.
If Mr Mark wins, Mr Peters returns to Parliament and can then
leave on his own terms. Labour voters blame Mr Peters for the
low polling of their party.
National Party voters are desperately keen to have their MPs
control the Treasury benches but they are still reluctant to
acknowledge that party leader John Key will have to call upon
other parties to help form a National-led government.
Even if National did win an outright majority of votes,
something that has not happened since 1951, he said he would
call in other parties and has already offered cabinet or
other posts to United Future leader Peter Dunne and Act New
Zealand leader Rodney Hide.
Act has been campaigning on the slogan "Change of government
and a government of change".
The Green Party wants a change in thinking by voters so that
instead of voting for themselves, they vote for the planet
and the next generation.
In a world of the "now generation" and "me too", that is a
big ask.
Central city seats are going to be crucial for the party
which wants to form the next government.
Dunedin South and Dunedin North will remain Labour, unless
there is a massive upset, but whether the party vote will
hold up enough to counter lost votes in Auckland is a major
talking point in the party.
Auckland Central could swing to National in both electorate
and party votes.
Wellington Central should be retained for Labour by former
Dunedin man Grant Robertson who faces big challenges from
National's Stephen Franks and Green MP Sue Kedgley.
If the Green vote goes up, Mr Robertson is at risk and so is
Labour's party vote.
Christchurch Central has been solidly Labour but affluent
inner city dwellers are reported to be shifting their
allegiance towards National.
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