Critics of the potential for opinion polls and other
publicity during the three-week local government selection to
"skew" outcomes should not underestimate voters, an academic
expert says.
"Let's not underestimate the intelligence of voters to
interpret polls and make decisions for themselves," AUT
University's Institute of Public Policy director David Wilson
said.
"Polls are usually a pretty good indicator of what will
happen in the final result," he said, though he noted polls
needed to be carried out in a objective way to reduce the
margin of error.
Where methods such as people sending 99c text messages were
used, polls could be skewed to just the portion of the
population able to afford such texting.
"There can be concerns around the robustness of these polls."
Federated Farmers said on Tuesday it wanted to discuss with
Local Government Minister Rodney Hide the possibility of the
Government cutting short the current three-week voting period
for council elections, and banning opinion polling for the
shorter period.
A spokesman for Mr Hide said the minister did not think it
appropriate to comment at this time.
"The Government may decide to consider these and other issues
more fully in advance of the next local government election,"
she added.
Federated Farmers president Don Nicolson complained that
releasing what were effectively "exit polls" during voting
could skew local council ballots.
"It may lead to people choosing not to vote on the basis
their favoured candidate is either in pole position or an
also-ran," he said.
The publication of council "exit polls" in Auckland and
Christchurch before the elections close, might distort
results, Mr Nicolson said.
But Mr Wilson said people who made the effort to vote were
generally intelligent and researched their choices, unlike
some examples in Australia, where electors had to turn out
because it was against the law not to vote.
There was potential for voters who saw their favoured
candidate trailing in polls to get out and make a greater
effort to promote that person.
He did not favour Federated Farmers' proposals to cut the
voting period and ban publication of opinion polls during the
period for votes to be cast.
"If you're going to limit the media and representations of
polls, where are people going to get their information from?"
Mr Wilson said.
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