The Telecom demerger
and company split begins today on the Australian stock
exchange and on the New Zealand exchange on Wednesday.
Late last week, it was reported United States investors had
been selling out their Telecom shares and while there was
revived interest from Asian investors, its share price during
the week had declined 8.5% from $2.69 to $2.46 on Friday.
The complexity of the respective share valuations appeared to
making some investors jittery.
In late October, Telecom shareholders voted overwhelmingly in
favour of splitting the company into two separate listed
businesses: its retail, mobile, IT and internet business to
become New Telecom and its network-lines business becoming
New Chorus.
The demerger allows New Chorus to participate in the
Government's ultrafast broadband programme, having won $930
million from the Government to install fibreoptic cabling
around the country, while New Telecom retains its mobile
network, retail business, IT and internet services.
Existing shareholders will get one new Chorus share for every
five existing Telecom shares.
Forsyth Barr broker Suzanne Kinnaird said there was no direct
comparison to value the respective shares, as Telecom is the
first international telco to go through full structural
separation of its access network.
She expected New Telecom shares to trade at about $1.65 a
share and New Chorus about $4.75, or in ranges of $1.40-$1.90
and $4.25-$5.50 respectively.
Forsyth Barr forecasts for earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation and amortisation were in line with those of
independent adviser Samual Grant, with New Chorus at $650
million and New Telecom at $1.15 billion.
Ms Kinnaird said New Telecom was likely to have a declining
revenue profile and face increasing competition, with future
cost savings critical to maintaining or growing
profitability.
She said New Chorus should become a stable regulated
monopoly, and while it had a substantial capital expenditure
programme and no guarantee of customer take-up, some of the
government funding for the unused portion of the ultrafast
broadband meant it mitigated some of the customer take-up
risk.
• In a multi-company swoop in earlier this month, the world's
largest asset management company, United States-based Black
Rock, grabbed a 5%, $250 million stake in Telecom when 16 of
its global subsidiary companies purchased shares.
Black Rock became the third- or fourth-largest shareholder in
Telecom, prompting talk in the market of a takeover ploy for
New Zealand's then largest listed company.
In a shareholders' notice released by Telecom, it listed 16
Black Rock companies around the world, including those from
Canada, Australia, Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany and the
Netherlands, which purchased a stake totalling 5% in all.
- simon.hartley@odt.co.nz
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