Kel Sanderson
The key to Dunedin lifting itself out of recession is
population and public/private investment, one of several
analysts giving Dunedin City Council councillors a closed-door
briefing yesterday said.
It was the second annual briefing, arranged by the council's
economic development unit, to give an impartial view on
international and national economics and the implications for
Dunedin, unit manager Peter Harris said.
The four speakers were Kel Sanderson, director of Business
and Economic Research Ltd, ANZ/National Bank chief economist
Cameron Bagrie, Dunedin-based Asian economy analyst Rodney
Jones, and Joy Gunn, of the Ministry of Social Development.
Before the briefing, Mr Sanderson said the key for Dunedin
was population and investment, both private and local body.
He was a keen supporter of Dunedin's rugby stadium ambitions.
"Once finished it can be used to enhance the city through
hosting other events and attracting people here," he said.
While aware Dunedin rates were rising by possibly 7.3%, in
part to pay for the stadium, and council debt ballooning more
than 10-fold in a decade to $360 million, he said the rating
would "smooth out the inter-generational burden" of payments
and the council was right to have borrowed, as opposed to
charging ratepayers.
"Studies on Wellington's stadium have its economic benefits
at two-times those forecast," he said.
Dunedin's population gains had increased from 300 annually in
2006-08 to almost 800 in 2008-09.
While the gains were small, Auckland had gone from a 4000
person gain per year to a 3500 annual loss, mainly domestic.
Mr Sanderson favoured development of mixed-use "high density"
areas nearer city centres, which were cheaper to develop per
head of occupant, with council's rezoning when necessary to
allow for mixed use, residential and commercial development,
by private developers.
"It is often overlooked; population growth means density in
the heart of the city."
Mr Sanderson said the model was not high density "slum"
development.
Auckland's use of the concept had worked to good effect in
up-market suburbs of Remuera and Newmarket.
Mr Harris said yesterday the unit was initiating a new
10-year economic development strategy for the city.
The year-long process would include the Otago Chamber of
Commerce, Otago Southland Employers Association, University
of Otago and other organisations.
"It will not be just a strategy for the council to adopt, but
all participants," Mr Harris said.
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