Dunedin's heritage buildings would bear the brunt of a 7.1
magnitude earthquake centred on the city, with damage likely
to be the same as in Christchurch, a seismic expert says.
The warning came as Dunedin City Council civil defence and
rural fires manager Neil Brown said a team of about 40
building inspectors from Dunedin would travel to Christchurch
if required in coming days or weeks.
The team, comprising council building inspectors and
consultants, was one of only two in New Zealand to have taken
part in a trial of new post-earthquake building assessment
training earlier this year, Mr Brown said.
The programme was adapted from training given to authorities
in California, in the United States, he said.
The other New Zealand team was already based in Christchurch.
Opus International technical services manager Ian Walsh, of
Dunedin, told the Otago Daily Times a 7.1 magnitude
earthquake would take a "very similar" toll on Dunedin's
heritage buildings.
"We would expect to see some significant distress on that
type of building, which would be those that would be around
the old commercial areas of Dunedin, where those buildings
are still present," he said.
It appeared modern buildings had withstood the Canterbury
earthquake "perfectly well", but older un-reinforced masonry
buildings had proved "extremely vulnerable" to modest ground
movement, he said.
Reclaimed areas of Dunedin would be vulnerable to
liquefaction - turning solid ground into a liquid state -
including South Dunedin and areas around the Forsyth Barr
Stadium site, he said.
However, the stadium's modern construction standards,
including piles penetrating more than 20m into bedrock, would
ensure it withstood an earthquake, even if the ground around
the venue was badly affected, he said.
Mr Brown believed Dunedin was as well prepared for a major
earthquake as Christchurch, with the same planning exercises
undertaken to identify vulnerable points and critical
infrastructure.
The offer to assist Canterbury Civil Defence authorities had
been made through the Civil Defence national crisis
management centre in Wellington, and could be taken up as
Canterbury's staff began to tire, he said.
The earthquake underscored New Zealand's earthquake risk was
not just centred on Wellington.
"I think it's a wake-up call to say nowhere in New Zealand
... can consider itself to be immune to this sort of thing,"
Mr Brown said.
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