Employment indicators released today point to a slightly
improving job market, with Canterbury leading the way as it
recovers from February's destructive earthquake.
The ANZ bank's job advertisement series recorded a 0.9
percent lift in July, the sixth month of increases. That was
driven by a 2.2 percent increase in internet listings, offset
by a 3.9 percent fall in newspaper jobs.
For the past four months Christchurch has had more newspaper
job vacancies than Auckland and Wellington combined.
Canterbury accounted for about 40 percent of newspaper
vacancies in July, up from an historical 17 percent.
The bank's unemployment direction index, which gauges a
number of barometers, pointed to a gradually falling
unemployment rate.
Meanwhile, a Department of Labour employment indicator was
flat in the June quarter, but still pointed to moderate
employment growth in the September quarter.
The lead employment indicator, produced by the department's
Labour and Immigration Research Centre, edged down 0.1
percent in the three months to June.
But centre head Vasantha Krishnan said that sideways movement
did not constitute a turning point, which would need two
consecutive quarterly movements in a new direction.
The indicator was still predicting employment would rise by
about 0.6 percent in the September quarter and between 0.4
and 0.6 percent in the following two quarters.
The indicator combines five economic indicators, including
the stock market index, which historically have been shown to
lead turning points in the employment cycle. The indicator
has pushed higher since troughing during the second half of
2009.
Meanwhile, the department's Jobs Online monthly report for
July showed no growth in online skilled job vacancies,
compared to the previous month, while still being 17 percent
higher than a year ago.
In Canterbury there was a rise of 4.3 percent and Wellington
lifted 1.1 percent, while Auckland declined 0.2 percent.
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