Question marks remains over New Year's Eve weather, with rain
and wind looking set to dampen festivities in many parts of
WeatherWatch.co.nz head weather analyst Philip Duncan said
the same weather pattern which contributed to a cloudy and
damp Christmas Eve in some areas looked likely to return in
the final days of 2012.
This meant a higher risk of wind and rain on New Year's Eve
and campers are now being warned to keep up to date with
weather forecasts and potential warnings.
A similar weather set up as during Christmas - highs either
side of New Zealand but not directly over the country -
looked likely for the final day of the year, Mr Duncan said.
"Just like for the start of Christmas we expect a high to the
east and another one in the Tasman Sea - lowering the air
pressure here at home and increasing the risks of wind and
The current weather forecast showed wet weather clearing
during New Year's Eve over the North Island while rain moved
up the West Coast of the South Island.
Gusty north westerlies were predicted for central New
Zealand, including Wellington.
However, despite the potential change in weather, most main
centres still looked fairly dry at this early stage, Mr
"Don't go cancelling any plans just yet."
Auckland has just a 30 per cent chance of showers with
westerlies picking up. New Year's Day could be windy but dry
Wellington is expected to be dry with near gale northerly or
north westerly winds on New Year's Eve - with New Year's Day
looking similar - but with a higher risk of showers.
Christchurch is forecast to be dry and warm, but perhaps
cooler, cloudier and windier on the first day of 2013.
Mr Duncan said he had been using the same models that picked
cyclone Evan's path two weeks in advance.
"I tend to be a glass half full kinda guy and while the
forecast may not be ideal, keep in mind long range
predictions are just a basic guide for the weather pattern.
"We are seeing another unsettled spell of weather, but it may
be more like a hot spring weather pattern than the tropical
summer system we've just had."
Spring patterns tended to bring sunny and dry weather to
eastern and northern areas where most partygoers are
expected, but cloudy and wetter weather for western areas and
windier weather for central New Zealand.
"If you're going away camping keep up to date with the latest
weather news and potential warnings."
The wild weather may be be short lived, with a forecast high
moving in to settle things down for the start of January.