Sunny weather across much of the country over the weekend
marked the end of one of the warmest winters on record.
But a return to more normal temperatures is likely over the
September to November period, according to Niwa National
Climate Centre's seasonal climate outlook.
Spring temperatures are likely to be near or above average
temperatures across New Zealand, and residents in the upper
North Island will still need the umbrella, with rainfall
totals in the region likely to be in the near normal or above
WeatherWatch head analyst Philip Duncan said people would not
notice the same unseasonable warmth over spring. "The next
month or so is probably going to be fairly average to
slightly above average.
"It's not going to be as dramatically warmer than it was in
the middle of winter when we really noticed how much warmer
it was [than] average."
Mr Duncan said a cold change would arrive around Wednesday,
when rain was predicted for Auckland. "It is going to feel
like winter again, just briefly. That's normal for spring,
which is all about reminders of winter, but also that summer
is on the way."
High pressure systems were predicted for later in the month,
meaning drier days would balance wet ones. Mr Duncan said
westerly winds would also become common later this month.
Recent spells of sunshine had turned people's minds to
summer, he said, but long-range predictions of what to expect
But he said the current "chaotic" weather system, marked by
the absence of both La Nina and El Nino, tended to bring
extreme weather events, but also warmer weather.
"It throws everything at us - but it does tend to bring
warmer weather, and probably drier. My feeling is that this
summer has a higher risk of being dry than a normal summer
- Nicholas Jones of the New Zealand Herald