Policies are likely to be overshadowed by personalities as
the election campaign begins in earnest today.
As predicted in the Otago Daily Times as early as June this
year, the election will be held on November 8, providing
enough time for the Government's October 1 tax cuts to be
felt in the back pockets of voters.
Prime Minister Helen Clark caught most off guard in her
timing of yesterday's announcement, forcing National Party
leader John Key to cut short a visit to Christchurch and
return to Wellington for a press con-ference.
Labour Party internal polling indicates a closing in the gap
between itself and National and Miss Clark has decided there
is some momentum gathering for her party.
University of Otago political scientist Chris Rudd fears
policies will be sidelined during the election.
Miss Clark's opponents would try to portray her as a "weak
leader", who should have sacked New Zealand First leader and
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters a long time ago, he
said.
There was likely to be a return to the scandals that had
haunted Miss Clark, such as Paintergate, Speedgate and
Doonegate.
The "Petersgate" saga was the pinnacle of those incidents.
National would urge electors to vote for a change, but for
the negative reason of a vote against the Government.
"John Key needs to focus on the fresh start and the new faces
representing the X generation - whoever they are," Dr Rudd
said.
"Already, he has been reaching out to young voters and women.
He needs to push the message that voters 'can rely on me' and
that he can lead."
Miss Clark was likely to focus on National's "secret agendas"
and that Mr Key was inexperienced in politics, Dr Rudd said.
The last three weeks of Parliament have been dominated by the
donations controversy surrounding Mr Peters.
Announcing the election date has allowed the Prime Minister
to distance herself somewhat from the controversy and the
growing labelling of her administration as the "Clark-Peters"
government.
Brian Henry, the lawyer for Mr Peters, is due to appear
before Parliament's privileges committee on Tuesday and the
committee is due to present its recommendation to the House
on September 23.
But the result is largely academic as attention now focuses
on what will be a bitter election campaign.
Miss Clark yesterday declared the election would be about
trust.
"It is about which leader and which major party we New
Zealanders trust our families' and our country's future with.
"This election is a choice between a government which has
shown it can make the tough choices and an opposition which
flip-flops on almost every major issue which emerges."
Mr Key said the election was the chance for voters to choose
a brighter future for New Zealanders.
"The election is about New Zealanders having the opportunity
to choose a government that is focused on what matters to
them.
"It is about being able to turn a fresh page and put all the
political distractions and intrigue of the past three years
behind us."
A name, residential address, and (preferably residential) telephone number is required from readers who comment on ODT Online. These details will not be visible to site visitors.