The latest Crown accounts show the impact of the recession
will be felt for some time, Finance Minister Bill English
says.
The accounts, released today, show the Government is
continuing to pull in less tax than it forecast in this
year's budget.
"It means there will be little or no new money for Government
departments and ministries for the foreseeable future - and
certainly not at the unsustainable rate of increase provided
by the previous government," Mr English said.
"It's clear that the impact of the recession will be felt by
many businesses and, in turn, on the Government's books for
some time. This will influence our decisions around both
revenue and spending."
The accounts for the four months ending October recorded tax
revenue as $15.4 billion which was $1.6 billion (9.4 percent)
lower than forecast.
Treasury said lower business profits were hitting the
Government's books and this flowed through into a lower tax
take in 2010.
"Recent 2008/2009 financial year results for public-listed
companies indicate that weakness in corporate profitability
has occurred across a broad range of sectors," Treasury said.
"This shortfall against the Budget Update in provisional tax
is expected to carry through to year end, but is not expected
to increase over this period."
The $1b (39.7 percent) reduction in corporate tax take
compared to forecasts was also matched by individuals' tax
revenue being down $346 million.
Treasury said there had been greater than expected refunds
due to repayment of overpaid provisional tax, more requests
for refunds and increased donation and childcare credits.
These hits to revenue resulted in the operating balance
before gains and losses rising to $3.27b, which was $1.2b
worse than the forecast $2.04b or 59 percent.
This was offset by higher than forecast investment returns
from the New Zealand Superannuation Fund ($1.3b) and ACC
($0.6b).
These greater than expected returns meant the headline
operating balance was only slightly worse than the forecast
$1.3b.
The Government's cash deficit also improved from $4.1b to
$3.9b due to some higher than forecast dividends from state
owned enterprises and other cash receipts.
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