The political landscape
stretching predictably out before the November 26 election
with barely a wrinkle in sight just got more interesting - or
at least unpredictable.
While the Act New Zealand party has been at pains to portray
the transition as an orderly, almost routine handing on of
the baton, Thursday's leadership coup, in which former
National Party leader Don Brash ousted incumbent leader
Rodney Hide, conceals a sustained period of dysfunction and
disunity.
If it was a bloodless coup, then this was only because the
blood had, at least temporarily, congealed in the veins of
its various players - primarily those of principal "victim"
Mr Hide. The question on many minds will be the extent to
which that blood, thinned under the pressure of pent-up
acrimony, might begin to boil between now and the end of
November.
There was little sign of that dis-ease at the announcement.
Among other skills acquired by Mr Hide during his
parliamentary tenure, most notably during his "sabbatical" on
the popular television programme Dancing with the Stars, has
been a certain stage presence.
He has learned to "hold the moment". But there will surely
follow a degree of chagrin, if not bitterness, as Mr Hide's
political exile beckons and he begins to measure his
perceived accomplishments against the brutal manner of his
toppling.
Despite protestations to the contrary, notably from Dunedin
Act list MP Hilary Calvert, that toppling occurred because
the incumbent leader had lost the unqualified support of his
caucus. And most likely also - although details of this are
yet to emerge - because the party's corporate backers had
lost faith in Mr Hide's ability to protect, even enhance,
their political brand.
The canary yellow jacket, the lowlights of TV's dance floor,
the one-time perk-buster's high-profile hypocrisy in taking
advantage of travel perks for himself and his new partner,
the embracing of reactionary social policies and concealment
of former Act MP David Garrett's criminal past - all these
accruing around the abrasive personality of Mr Hide were seen
to have damaged and diluted the Act brand, particularly the
purity of its radical economic project.
Those backers, it would seem, are a good deal more
comfortable with Dr Brash - not without good reason, for
despite his sometimes other-worldly demeanour and occasional
outbreaks of foot-in-mouth, the 70-year-old former governor
of the Reserve Bank is a world-respected economist, albeit of
an uncompromising kind, and has the track record as leader of
the National Party of having led it back from the brink of
oblivion.
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