Hank Weiss and Dorothy Begg take issue with the idea that
speed limits are not to blame for accidents.
As injury prevention specialists representing a combined
50-plus years of experience in injury prevention and road
safety and as leaders of the Injury Prevention Research Unit
at the University of Otago, we wish to express concern at the
headline (ODT, 7.1.10) that suggested that speed limits are
not to blame for accidents.
Both physical laws and overwhelming real-world research
evidence points to strong connections between effective
efforts to lower speed and reductions in crashes, injury
severity and risk of death for cyclists and pedestrians (such
as the incident in the article where Claudia Petersson was
severely injured crossing the road after walking the Paradise
Track), and for occupants.
The reason for this is straightforward and based on
well-known principles of physics.
It is because when a crash occurs, the forces (kinetic
energy) released are exponentially related to the speed of a
collision (for the mathematicians among readers, this is
determined by the formula Ek=(1/2)mv2, where k = kinetic
energy, m = mass, and v = velocity).
Because of this, there is a sensitive relationship between
speed and the injury-causing potential of a crash; which
means even modest speed changes can have dramatic effects.
For example, for occupants, at an impact speed of 80kmh, the
risk of death is 20 times that at 30kmh (European Transport
Safety Council, 1995).
For pedestrians, the risk of death is less than 5% under
30kmh but becomes almost certain over 55-60kmh (Ashton and
Mackay, 1979; Anderson, McClean, Farmer et al, 1997).
Applying these principles, Western Australia safety
authorities have estimated that if the vehicles involved in
pedestrian injury incidents had been travelling just five kmh
slower, one-third of the pedestrian deaths could have been
avoided and one in 10 pedestrians would not have been hit at
all (Office of Road Safety, 2009).
It is clear, then, how lower speeds would have helped Claudia
Petersson on that fateful day when she was crossing the road
to her car from the Paradise Track entrance in 2005 when she
was struck by a utility vehicle coming around the bend.
First, she and the driver would have had more time to react
to possibly avoid the collision altogether.
Second, if she was struck at lower speeds, the injuries might
not have been so severe.
For these reasons, we strongly support the community and the
Petersson family (ODT, 6.1.10) efforts to reduce speed limits
on this road.
But speed moderation is not the only arrow in the road safety
quiver.
We also agree with the DCC spokesman on the need for improved
pedestrian and driver signage in this and similar areas.
Yes, signs cannot be put everywhere, but signs can and should
be properly placed where obvious hazards exist.
Finally, another important design factor was not mentioned at
all in the articles, and that is the design flaw, probably
handed down decades ago, that requires pedestrians using the
tramping track entrance to cross a dangerous roadway to get
to their vehicle.
A much safer design would place the parking on the same side
of the roadway as the pedestrian access.
How many other tracks in Otago have this same design
flaw?Still, speed remains one of the most important road
safety issues.
The slower we drive, the more time we have to react, the less
chance we have of hitting something or someone, and physics
says the lesser the injury and damage to things and people in
and outside of the vehicle.
And while we may not have survey data on Otago citizens'
attitudes right now, it has been shown from Scottish surveys
that 88% prefer to drive at a speed at or below the speed
limit. (Stradling, S. G., 2007).
We strongly urge the DCC in its review of speed limits to
lower speeds wherever possible, in accordance with the
emerging NZ Transport Agency concept of Safe Systems where
speeds are based taking into account human physical and
psychological vulnerability matched to the design, use and
function of the road and implemented in a way that encourages
compliance.
The idea is to acknowledge that people, being human, will
make mistakes in judgement and that such errors, regardless
whether it is the pedestrian, cyclist, motorcyclist or the
driver who may be at fault, will not result in catastrophic
injury or death.
We must move towards a better balance of safety, reducing
health care and compensation costs, listening to local
community wishes and addressing local and global
environmental concerns; rather than the primacy of moving
people from point A to point B as fast as possible.
Dr Hank Weiss is director and Dr Dorothy Begg transport
safety co-ordinator of Otago Injury Prevention Research Unit
at the University of Otago.
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