"She has been racing well and drops a long way in class and the small field could help her overcome the draw."
Sales, retirements and injuries curtailed the Dixon training efforts last season when he was left with many horses who had reached their marks.
He takes his first wave of newcomers to the Kumeu meeting and is expecting good things.
"The maidens have looked sharp at the workouts and I think they will be hard to beat," Dixon said.
He lines up Shards Of Ice and Beau Starlight in the first race.
The Dixon pair meet Charge Forward, who showed promise winning as a 2yr-old last season.
"Charge Forward could be hard to beat but I've got a bit of time for both of mine, with Shards Of Ice the more forward," Dixon said.
Later on the night, he has another maiden stable clash when Jessies Cullen and Perfect Sensation meet in race 8, a leg of the $40,000 Pick6.
"Jessies Cullen is a nice filly who has trialled well and I think she will be hard to beat, whereas Perfect Sensation might take a run or two because she is not as forward."
Roving President gets the draw to use his gate speed in race 5 and Dixon hopes the gelding can stay in front in a field that looks devoid of mid-race pressure.
A lack of pressure is what Dixon says could cost Spy a winning chance in race 6.
The seven-race winner is edging his way back to peak fitness after two runs this campaign but has drawn wide over 2200m and faces going back at the start.
"That could make it hard to win because I thought Red Zone might lead with Dead Calm trailing, and I don't see a lot of attackers," Dixon said.
"If they go hard, he [Spy] can win because he is going well. But he needs that bit of speed in the race.
"But he definitely looks as though has a couple more wins in him."
