Richard Norris
More research is needed on two Taieri fault-lines to
determine if they are active, University of Otago geologist
Prof Richard Norris says.
Little was known about the North Taieri and Maungatua faults,
he said.
A fault-line is considered active if it has moved in the past
5000 years.
There was just as much chance a devastating quake could
result from a so-called "buried" fault, similar to the
devastation caused by an unknown fault 30km west of
Christchurch on Saturday.
Prof Norris said he and University of Otago geophysicist Dr
Andrew Gorman undertook ground-breaking work to identify last
year a previously unknown offshore fault, the Green Island
fault.
Research was ongoing, but it was now speculated Dunedin's
1974 earthquake was caused by the Green Island fault, rather
than the Akatore fault, whichhad not been active for 1000
years, and 2000 before then.
More extensive research had been done on the Taieri Plain's
Titri fault,which had not been active for 90,000 years.
Asked what damage would result if Dunedin had the same
magnitude earthquake at the same proximity to the city as the
Christchurch quake, Prof Norris said the extent would be
similar but of a different nature.
Soil liquefaction was likely at St Kilda, parts of St Clair,
Mosgiel, and the Taieri.
The risk in the hill suburbs would likely be rockfalls and
landslips, the severity of which would depend on ground
moisture.
Dunedin had a higher proportion of historic brick buildings,
so building damage would potentially be worse.
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