Tough times for the
economy and in the job market have led to greater demand for
tertiary education as people look to sharpen their skills.
It seems unfortunate timing, then, for universities to be
restricting access, as several, including the University of
Otago intend.
Tertiary Education Minister Steven Joyce says that
ultimately, each university has academic independence and
makes its own decisions about who to admit.
"However, I am confident that Otago has the right incentives
to maximise the number of students it admits, who have a
reasonable likelihood of success at university study.
"The Government's role is to fund as many places as it
reasonably can. We are funding record numbers of equivalent
full-time places at universities in 2011, which are about
5600 more than in 2008. We are also funding record numbers of
core places at polytechnics, and continuing high numbers of
places at wananga and private training organisations.
"We are working very hard to ensure that New Zealanders from
all educational backgrounds have the right opportunities to
gain - at a level that suits them - world-class skills and
knowledge that allows them to get ahead in life."
Craig Ebert, senior economist for the BNZ, says the more a
country can "up-skill" its population, the better, although
he emphasises that has to be "in the right areas".
"It is no good turning everyone out to be an accountant when
there are already enough of them. You have to let market
forces work there.
"The job market is not awful, but it isn't as buoyant as it
once was. People who once had a selection of 10 jobs to
choose from are now actually having to make an effort and get
their skills up to date ... People aren't being forced to do
it, but they think they might improve their prospects by
going to university."
Pete Hodgson, Labour MP for Dunedin North and a former
Minister for Tertiary Education, says people are more
inclined to enter tertiary education during an economic
downturn, "such as we are going through at the moment".
"And that is exactly the time to turn the tap on, not turn
the tap off.
"Five years ago, New Zealand had skill shortages here, there
and everywhere. Now the labour market has changed
dramatically and the skill shortage issue has gone away, but
it will return next time we get a decent upturn - unless we
use the downtime in the economy to close that skills gap
including, but not limited to, undergraduate bachelor study."
However, education consultant Dave Guerin issues a warning:
"The other argument is that some people aren't there to
up-skill; it's that they haven't got anything else to do. And
is what they are learning necessarily going to align with
their skill needs?
"You would expect to see an upsurge in a recession as we have
done, but that doesn't mean you want to gear up your system
to take 5% or 10% more students over time, because once the
labour market picks up that demand is going to decline and
you are going to be left with excess staff and space and
everything else."
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