Investors are rethinking their strategies after two decades
of excesses, but a financial planner warns government priming
of economies could create fish hooks for future generations.
Peeyush Gupta, a strategic policy adviser with Ipac
Securities in Sydney, told a seminar in Dunedin this week
organised by New Zealand Financial Planning, that funding
ballooning government debt and the pension and medical
expenses of retiring baby boomers, could see a tightening of
entitlements for middle-income earners.
That made it more important than ever that people planned for
their retirement, he said.
The world had never seen such a fiscal stimulus as was being
injected by governments at present, a move he said had
succeeded in avoiding a deep recession in the short term.
But eventually that borrowed money had to be repaid, at the
same time as there was a significant threat looming in
unfunded pension, social security and medical liabilities
from an ageing population.
A logical response for governments to meet those costs was to
increase tax and reduce entitlements, which made it even more
important for people to save for their retirement.
"It means individuals need to take more responsibility for
looking after themselves."
Those saving for their retirement were returning to the four
basic investment principles of quality of investment, value,
diversification and time, he said.
They were principles some investors and investment companies
had ignored for the past two decades.
He said one investor told him he had diversified his
portfolio by investing in four property companies, a tactic
Mr Gupta said was not diversification according to the
interpretation used by financial planners.
Common sense had been cast aside as investors bought heady
investments that appeared to offer rich returns, but in
reality resulted in the permanent loss of capital.
While all investor portfolios had struggled recently to make
money, Mr Gupta said those who had not followed the quick
dollar and had adhered to the four basic investment
principles would recover more quickly.
"Junk can go up, but junk is just junk," he said in an
interview.
Mr Gupta believed the recession had prompted people to
rediscover some lost values, such as the value of families
and communities and to realise that chasing wealth did not
bring happiness.
"This next phase will be a good thing because it will take us
back to basics, take us back to our roots."
AXA Global Investors chief economist Bevan Graham told the
same seminar the world economy was not necessarily getting
better, but "less bad".
The depth of the recession was also more apparent, he said.
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