The first failure was the Government's assumption that it did
not need to prepare the public for reasoned debate about
whether to permit more mining in the so-called "conservation
estate".
The second failure was to proceed with its investigation and
the touting of the assumed benefits while having already lost
the war of words to the considerable individual opposition
and that organised by environmentalists, the Green Party, the
Labour Party and everyone else claiming title to guardian of
the nation's remaining undeveloped sanctuaries.
The third failure was the slowness of the realisation that
being "green" is still taken by perhaps a majority of voters
as being part of the heritage of "New Zealandness": any
threat to that irrational, but nevertheless emotionally real
belief, ventures into the area of high political risk.
And this is a decidedly risk-averse Government.
The prospect of fighting an election on an issue upon which
National could not possibly "win" the emotional battle
provided a reason for a majority in the Cabinet to consign to
the shredder the prospect of mining in conservation land.
It is a political defeat for the Minister of Energy and
Resources, Gerry Brownlee, and the Minister of Conservation,
Kate Wilkinson, who, if they were merely flying a very big
kite to test the political breeze, have come a considerable
cropper in proposing - as Mr Brownlee once described it -
using mining as a way of improving New Zealand's "parlous
financial position".
People quite rightly asked what the point was of specific
legislative protections for so-called schedule four land in
the Crown Minerals Act if they could be removed at the whim
of a government.
That concern seems to have hit home, as an assurance has now
been given that presently protected land will continue to be
inviolable for the purposes of further mineral exploration or
extraction.
Furthermore, the Government will add 14 areas, totalling
12,400ha, to the schedule, and in the future all areas given
equivalent classifications, such as national parks and marine
reserves, will automatically become part of the schedule.
A considerable flexibility with the language has been applied
to official statements about the Government's backdown: for
example, "New Zealanders have given the minerals sector a
clear mandate to go and explore ... land, and where
appropriate, within the constraints of the resource consent
process, utilise its mineral resources for everyone's
benefit," according to Mr Brownlee.
That is an interpretation of the many submissions from
objectors that George Orwell would have recognised.
"As many people have pointed out, around 85% of the country
is not protected by schedule four, and a great deal of that
land has mineral potential."
Mr Brownlee has claimed this interpretation as a victory,
saying the exercise gave the Government the desire to proceed
with further investigation of mineral extraction prospects,
especially in Northland and on the West Coast.
This backdown may be considered a victory for public protest,
a combination of written submissions, public marches, and the
inability of the Government to convince people that mining in
the conservation estate was worth the $60 billion presumed
mineral wealth.
Even when Mr Brownlee tried to convince the sceptics by
asserting the minerals extracted would be put to use in
"green technologies", such as the manufacture of hybrid cars,
wind turbines and even low-energy light bulbs (although the
nominated sites were gold and coal-rich, not rare earths),
few were convinced.
When taken in conjunction with the Government's intentions to
change the Resource Management Act to meet the concerns of
project developers, and to Mr Brownlee's strong hints of
special arrangements, involving other ministers, for
preferential access to the mineral resources, scepticism was
warranted.
The absence of any attempt at a cost-benefit analysis, site
by site, and, in broader terms, the potential of mineral
exploitation to have a deleterious impact on our other
established industries, including tourism, and particularly
on the value of the New Zealand dollar and the likely effect
on exporters, was a illustration of the Government's
arrogance - modified in the end, perhaps, only by the fearful
prospect of a serious fight with the users and owners of
Auckland's playgrounds and holiday-home locations on Great
Barrier Island and the Coromandel.
This is the Government's first serious reverse; it will be
instructive to see what it learns from the experience.
A name, residential address, and (preferably residential) telephone number is required from readers who comment on ODT Online. These details will not be visible to site visitors.