Based on seismic
data and historical records, New Zealand experiences about
300 - on average - 4 to 4.9 magnitude earthquakes every year,
and an average of two magnitude 6 to 6.9 a year.
As we have so tragically discovered, earthquakes
of these magnitudes can kill and will damage and destroy many
man-made structures.
The Minister for Earthquake Recovery, Gerry Brownlee, was
quite right to state this week that no more people should die
trying to save Christchurch's unreinforced,
non-earthquake-proofed historic buildings: the safety of
human life must come before the preservation of buildings,
however "iconic".
Since no part of New Zealand is safe from earthquakes, it is
certain the lessons of Christchurch will mean the
reconsideration of building codes, including codes for
relatively modern and supposedly safer structures.
What this will mean for the rest of New Zealand is moot,
although it is relevant to remind ourselves that Wellington
underwent a substantial, costly and controversial process 30
years ago which saw many historic buildings demolished
because they did not meet new building codes, and many new
buildings erected which are supposedly far safer for human
occupation, especially when fitted with vibration control
technologies such as the lead-rubber base isolation system
invented here by Dr Bill Robinson.
Many of our buildings and bridges are now fitted with this
system, including Parliament and the Museum of New Zealand,
but notable historic buildings, especially of the 19th
century, have no such protection. This state of affairs is
especially relevant to Dunedin which, although more distant
from major known fault lines, cannot be considered any less
vulnerable.
The scale of potential damage and destruction in Dunedin's
central business district should an earthquake of
Christchurch's magnitude strike may be assumed to be
colossal. Mr Brownlee has declared, somewhat imperiously,
that historic buildings in Christchurch if they have "any
damage at all" will be demolished, no matter what their
connection to the past.
He was annoyed that the Christchurch City Council refused
consent to allow historic structures damaged in the September
event to be demolished, and has declared the council will not
have that power "this time", noting that several workers
while engaged in the renovation of some of those buildings
were killed in last week's earthquake.
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