One of the big advantages John Key and the National Party has
over most of their political opponents is that they can
claim, sometimes legitimately, that they are pragmatists.
They can pursue policies not on the basis of any ideology but
on whether they work in the real world. They can argue that
their responses to the many issues, problems and policy
decisions they face can be based on what is best for the
country not what is best for a particular group or what fits
into a particular world view.
Contrast that with Labour, which has unions as a major funder
and a clear constituency it must take account of whatever
might be best for the nation; or the Greens with its
environmental straitjacket, or Act New Zealand and its
economic fundamentalism that smothers flexibility.
Mr Key himself, as is well recognised, epitomises and
emphasises this. What works is what matters, not the
doctrine.
Of course, politics is not that simple. National does have
its specific constituencies and responding to them, it can be
maintained, goes against the wider interests of the nation.
Farmers and their role in the emissions trading scheme could
be seen as an illustration of this.
There is also the point that what might be seen as populism
and lack of principle itself interferes with the long-term
interests of New Zealand. Thus, although it is obvious the
superannuation eligibility age must rise, Mr Key will not go
down that track. National by tradition - just think of Keith
Holyoake or Robert Muldoon - and by current instinct is a
centrist party more beholden to middle New Zealand and far
less to any specific philosophy than most other parties.
The youth policy announced last weekend is an example of the
approach. A full-fledged right-wing party would not be so
tentative or careful and would go much further. The "payment
card" that can only be used to buy certain goods would be
adopted much more widely as would of control over and
obligations for beneficiaries, not just those aged 16 and 17
and 18 years old on the domestic purposes benefit. Even as
National rolls out more welfare policies, they will continue
to use a combination of encouragement and punitive measures
rather than primarily a harsh approach.
The changes have the grand aim of ending welfare dependency
for young people. Available under the Government's Youth
Guarantee policy would be free study towards school-level
qualifications in places such as polytechnics and wanaga and
trade academies.
The young person's support provider would pay basic bills
like rent and power and help with budgeting, and only a
limited amount of money would be left to spend at the youth's
discretion. The Privacy and Education Acts would be changed,
at the same time, so information could be shared about when
16- and 17-year-olds left school.
Most of these measures will resonate positively with voters.
Youths of these ages not in school, training or work have,
basically, dropped out and have limited futures. And because
the State "pays" them through their benefits it is fair for
the State to have some control.
No-one, though, will or should expect dramatic changes in
outcomes. Youths in this position are often likely to have
lost motivation and engagement years before, and it will
often be too late to point them on practical paths even with
intensive case management and support.
Crucially, too, job opportunities are scarce these days, even
when basic qualifications or skills are acquired.
National, in its relatively cautious and incremental way, has
made another small step towards winning this year's election,
with the promise of more to come in the area of welfare
dependency.
The party gives the impression of doing something about youth
problems even if the numbers involved are small when lined up
against the extent of youth unemployment. It is showing it is
prepared to grapple with an issue that is clearly significant
and an ongoing concern to many voters. Alienated and lost
young people, as evidenced by the English riots of last week,
threaten not just the future of the youths themselves but
wider society as well.
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