Management inadequacies have been one of the features of the
Clark Government in its leadership of the administration of
public services and the guidance of enterprises whose
activities have a crucial impact on our daily lives.
One of the most obvious of these has been the failure, over
most of the period from 1999, to put together as a matter of
high priority a comprehensive energy plan for present and
predicted demand and ensure it can be met with appropriate
infrastructure.
The faulty Bradford reforms of the electricity sector were
supposed to deliver competition (to the advantage of
consumers) and security of supply and delivery.
Here in the South none of these goals have been met to the
expectation of consumers.
Worse, the present Government has been so slow to respond to
the urgent need for progress on infrastructure improvement
that consumers here, in particular, now face years of
exorbitant price increases.
There is profiteering involved, and the need which has been
obvious for years to separate generators of electricity from
retailers should by now be dawning on the Government.
The self-serving Clark Government statement last week, that
Contact Energy's "alarming" 10%-12% planned price increases
for its Dunedin consumers could not be justified, underlines
the inadequacy of the response to energy supply and pricing
issues.
It has failed to come to the rescue of consumers because to
do so would require substantial changes to parts of the
post-Bradford "the market will determine" system.
The international investment rating agency Standard and Poor
put it rather more obviously in June, noting low hydro lake
levels and high wholesale electricity prices at the time
would not hurt power company profits, because they were
passing their extra costs on to customers.
This at a time when there was much hysterical talk of another
power crisis - rightly denied by the Government - due to low
lake levels.
Hydro generation creates about two-thirds of New Zealand's
electricity, and most of that is in the South.
There was no power crisis this winter, with lake levels well
above those in 1992 when there was a genuine crisis.
Demand, however, was considerably higher: it is colder in the
South in winter, there are far more heat pumps in houses, and
dairy farming is a large user of electricity.
The equivalent of about 20% of South Island power usage was
being sent from the North Island over the Cook Strait link in
mid-winter.
Yet there is quite enough electricity being generated in the
South Island to meet South Island demand, including that of
the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter, which uses about 15% of
total national output, and the smelter has converted one of
its potlines to go offline if needed, so providing nearly
another 150MW of reserve capacity.
Contact, however, claims the reasons for its higher Dunedin
prices are the extra cost of supplying power during the
winter, increased "transmission risk", meaning the failure to
improve and increase capacity on the Cook Strait link, and
"chronic under-investment" in the national power transmission
system.
It also claims that if the link failed, the South Island
would face severe consequences, which is an assumption
needing proper analysis, and that more generating capacity
needs to be built in the South.
But why should consumers believe Contact's arguments when the
hydro lakes are almost back to average levels for the time of
year and wholesale market prices have dropped markedly?
This is also the same company which said an increase of at
least 6% was likely a month ago, when it announced its $237
million annual profit, and which this month said it had plans
to almost double its directors' fees.
If Contact lost money during the winter because of poor
management decisions, or unpredicted dry-year risk, such
factors are surely balanced by the good years.
Consumer New Zealand chief executive Sue Chetwin has
described Contact as being "up there with the most rapacious"
power companies, and few in Dunedin would disagree.
But Contact is not alone.
All the power retailers who are also generators have
increased prices substantially.
Nationally, household power prices have increased by an
estimated 66% on average since 1999, when the Clark
Government was elected, which is a rate way ahead of the rate
of inflation.
It has also been estimated the poorest 10% of the population
was last year paying 12.5% of their income on energy, and in
the South the proportion of income to cost likely is much
greater.
The Government has said at long last that it intends to
ensure the market is not being manipulated by electricity
retailers.
How could it be otherwise, though, when market power is not
restrained by genuine competition? The Commerce Commission
and the Electricity Commission are investigating the adequacy
of competition but that is a task that should have been
assigned years ago and may have prevented power companies
ratcheting up domestic prices so as to improve revenues for
their shareholders.
Pricing should fairly reflect real costs, not market power.
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