Prime Minister John Key and his National-led Government have
now been in power for just over 100 days.
To the extent that he and his team promised the electorate to
address a number of core issues during the earliest days of
their administration and have, by and large, met those
commitments, they have earned respect.
Frequently such promises dissipate in the heady mix of power
realised, and when it dawns - amid the dark arts of
compromise and real politique - that it is one thing to
pledge policies and another to deliver.
The progress to date, however, shows a Government with
impressive energy and a single-minded focus that belies Mr
Key's easy-going manner.
It might also be said that realising its achievements in the
face of the worst economic downturn since the Great
Depression of the 1930s makes it all the more remarkable.
Or, perhaps not. For it is the Opposition that seems frozen
in the headlights of the looming economic juggernaut.
In times of imminent crisis, conventional wisdom requires a
degree of national unity and in meeting this expectation the
Labour Party in particular has appeared unremarkable.
The news of Helen Clark's application to a top United Nations
post and rumours of Michael Cullen's possible early departure
cannot have helped.
But it should also be noted that the country seems genuinely
to be enjoying the change from the managerialism of Miss
Clark to the affability of Mr Key.
This has put Labour Party leader Phil Goff in a difficult
position, reflected in the party's terrible recent polls:
damned if they do rail against policies, many of which do not
differ hugely from their own, and damned if they don't.
Mr Goff also suffers by the closeness of his association with
Miss Clark, and a similar personality: a highly competent
politician, but lacking the easy charisma of the prime
minister.
As to substance, what has been achieved so far has been
primarily a dismantling, and a series of proposals - set out
in Bills - which will now go forward to select committees.
This is where the work will occur, and it is when the Bills
come back to the House for their second readings, and further
debate, that the extent to which agendas have been met will
be more easily gauged.
Later in the year, with the recession more reality than
threat, and with people beginning to suffer consequences, the
Government's extended honeymoon may have begun to pall.
It is then that the country might begin to realise the import
of the legislative programme and the direction in which it is
heading.
There was never going to be any serious difficulty in
overturning the Electoral Finance Act, with even Labour
recognising its shortcomings.
The challenge will come in drafting a replacement that
grapples comprehensively with models of electoral financing,
which deals to hidden trusts, and promotes transparency.
Equally, meeting its tax package promises was unproblematic,
although examination of where the cuts will impact most - and
whether this will help stimulate the economy as much as it
might - would bear fruitful scrutiny.
The Resource Management Act has made many enemies,
particularly in the business world, and again the likely
impact of mooted changes has yet to be fully canvassed.
Economic growth has been touted as the Government's
overriding goal in this area and in energy policy, too, and
it remains to be seen where the balance between this and the
environmental goals promoted by the Labour-led governments of
the past decade will lie.
Climate change has been dislodged and sent to the back of the
bus, which will delight some and be of concern to others.
The likely success of the Government's law and order
initiatives, including proposed changes to the parole system,
and the introduction of "boot camps" for the worst of our
younger offenders, may be debatable given the record of
similar overseas models, but should be given a chance given
the problems apparent in past regimes.
The same applies in education with the early introduction of
standards for literacy and numeracy, and measures to deal
with truancy - although increasing the fines for parents of
absent children will surely add only to the total sum of
uncollected, and uncollectable monies, owed to the state.
The Government has been able to "tick off" numerous other
initiatives.
Many of these have been business-as-usual dressed and
promoted as achievments - which if nothing else shows that
its spin machine is beginning to whir as smoothly as its
predecessor's.
That most intransigent and costly of sectors, health, is a
case in point, with much of what has been announced to date -
including the sacking of Otago District Health Board chairman
Richard Thomson - window dressing.
In more holistic terms, one of the great successes during the
Government's early post-electoral period is the manner in
which National has achieved accord with the Maori Party,
defying much of the commentariat in the process.
Whether such an assiduously courted kinship will survive the
rigours of the party's social development policy is yet to be
seen, but in this respect as well it can hardly be faulted
for effort.
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