Surely the fates let us bring this one home

Black Caps skipper Kane Williamson hits through the offside against Pakistan during their warm-up...
Black Caps skipper Kane Williamson hits through the offside against Pakistan during their warm-up match against Pakistan in Hyderabad last week. PHOTOS: GETTY IMAGES
Finally, a global tournament we might actually be able to win. Cricket writer Adrian Seconi asks his magic 8-ball for five reasons the Black Caps will emerge victorious at the Cricket World Cup. He also highlights five players to watch.

GOD OWES US

A celestial debt needs paying.

This "Year of the World Cup" has been nothing but an empty cereal box placed neatly back in the pantry.

The Silver Ferns finished fourth.

The Football Ferns could not find the back of the net when it really counted.

The Tall Blacks were knocked out of contention in pool play.

The All Blacks, well, they are not done yet but pencil them in for a quarterfinal exit.

And, to open the wound a little deeper, the New Zealand women’s team went 0-5 during the round-robin of the Indoor Hockey World Cup in South Africa in February. Oof.

Tom Latham
Tom Latham
New Zealand. We. Can. Turn. This. Around.

And it starts tonight with revenge against the boundary countback kings.

The Blacks Caps were cruelly denied a share of the 2019 title when England were awarded the trophy on the now defunct boundary countback rule, which had been buried in the small print.

That fact we took Pakistan’s place in the semifinals courtesy of superior net run rate when they beat us by six wickets during round-robin play is irrelevant. Completely irrelevant. Why even mention it?

But that final.

It was a tie. The super over was a tie.

Five million of us tried praying that Monday morning in July and those earnest expressions of faith just fluttered away.

Shubman Gil
Shubman Gil
Not bitter. Not bitter at all. But if Kane Williamson, Trent Boult and co cannot deliver glory, then, God, find another loophole. You owe us.

IN KANE WE TRUST

His knee is broken and we are all holding our breath he does not break it any more than it already is.

But this is Kane Williamson we are talking about.

He is one of our greatest players and there is no-one else you would rather have coming in next when the bowling is good and the pitch is tough. The 33-year-old excels in those conditions. What he lacks in power, he makes up for in placement. He is not prone to making rash decisions and you need someone with his unflappable nature out in the middle when the game is on the line.

And he is just so good at rotating the strike (let’s hope he can still run between the wickets with that dicky knee) and making room for the batters who play a bolder, more high-risk brand of cricket when it is needed. He is our anchor and we need him more than ever following Ross Taylor’s departure. He is also our best player of spin and spin has been our undoing over the years. It won’t spin in India, will it?

BOULT FROM THE BLUE

Black Caps paceman Trent Boult bowls against South Africa during their warm-up match in...
Black Caps paceman Trent Boult bowls against South Africa during their warm-up match in Thiruvananthapuram this week.
Trent Boult shops himself around the T20 circuit these days and it still burns that the left-armer might not be sighted in test cricket again.

But he is committed to a third World Cup campaign and that is good news because the 34-year-old has nabbed 39 wickets at an average of 21.79 in 19 World Cup games.

Naseem Shah
Naseem Shah
He was the tournament’s joint-leading wicket-taker in 2015 and in the top 10 in 2019. That inswinging yorker has been the ruination of many a quality batter. There is nothing more disconcerting that having your stumps knocked out of the ground.

His ability to strike with the new ball will be critical in conditions expected to favour the batters.

ONE-ARMED BANDIT

Mitchell Santner’s bowling action renders one arm completely useless but the other arm will be valuable for the Black Caps. He does not have a great record in the subcontinent but he will lead the Black Caps spin attack.

Santner can be awfully frugal and the Black Caps will look to him to bowl through the middle to restrict the scoring and build pressure. He will team up with Ish Sodhi, and Rachin Ravindra and Glenn Phillips will likely be called on to pick up some overs as well.

EXPERIENCE

Phillips (26), Ravindra (23) and Mark Chapman (29) are the only players under 30 in the squad. The Blacks Caps are not Dad’s Army yet but they have assembled a lineup that knows its way from the boundary’s edge to to the middle.

Liam Livingstone
Liam Livingstone
The entire 2019 World Cup bowling unit of Boult, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Sodhi and Southee return.

All-rounders Santner and Jimmy Neesham are back for another shot at glory as well, while keeper Tom Latham and top-order batter Williamson are back for their third and fourth World Cups respectively.

FIVE OF THE BEST

Shubman Gill (India) has flogged more ODI runs than anyone else in 2023. The 24-year-old right-hander has clouted 1230 runs from 1171 balls in 20 games for the World Cup hosts, and that included a double century against the Black Caps in Hyderabad in January. He rocked into a pull shot at every opportunity that day. There is a lesson in that.

Naseem Shah (Pakistan) is in possession of some real pace which he generates with his whippy action. The 20-year-old right-armer has snapped up 32 wickets at an average of 16.96 in 14 ODI outings for his country. And having shaken off an injury which sidelined him for most of 2021, he emerges as a potent force in a team blessed with quality fast bowlers.

Liam Livingstone (England) might be worth including in your fantasy team. England are very likely to go deep in the tournament and, call it a hunch, his hitting power and his ability to bowl both legspin and off-breaks could come in very handy.

Adam Zampa (Australia) may well find himself right at home in India. The wrist spinner’s variations and changes of pace, plus any spin he might generate, will make him a difficult customer to score off. He is a vastly experienced campaigner and boasts a solid record during the past two or three years.

Black Caps spinner Mitchell Santner bowls against England in the T20 international in Manchester...
Black Caps spinner Mitchell Santner bowls against England in the T20 international in Manchester last month.
Glenn Phillips (New Zealand) is dynamic around the field. He can send down a few off-breaks if required. But his real asset is he can thump the ball hard. He ought to be opening the batting and cashing in against the new ball. But the Black Caps have preferred to use him down the order in a finishing role.

Adam Zampa
Adam Zampa

Black Caps

The schedule

Tonight: v England, Ahmedabad, 9.30pm

October 9: v Netherlands, Hyderabad, 9.30pm

October 13: v Bangladesh, Chennai, 9.30pm

October 18: v Afghanistan, Chennai, 9.30pm

October 22: v India, Dharamsala, 9.30pm

October 28: v Australia, Dharamsala, 6pm

November 1: v South Africa, Pune, 9.30pm

Glenn Phillips
Glenn Phillips
November 4: v Pakistan, Bengaluru, 6pm

November 9: v Sri Lanka, Bengaluru, 9.30pm

 - All NZ time

Squad

Kane Williamson (captain), Trent Boult, Mark Chapman, Devon Conway, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Tom Latham, Daryl Mitchell, Jimmy Neesham, Glenn Phillips, Rachin Ravindra, Mitchell Santner, Ish Sodhi, Tim Southee, Will Young

adrian.seconi@odt.co.nz

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