National is on 36 per cent, up one point. The Greens are also up, hitting 12 per cent, up two points. Act has fallen one point to 10 per cent.
Based on these figures NZ First would be back in Parliament on 5.4 per cent.
Te Pāti Māori is on 2.4 per cent and TOP is on 1.5 per cent.
Chris Hipkins’ ranking as preferred Prime Minister has dropped from 34 per cent in the last poll to 28 per cent this month.
National Party leader Christopher Luxon is now hot on his heels on 26 per cent. Act leader David Seymour also polled well, hitting 11 per cent; Green co-leaders Marama Davidson and James Shaw were on 4 per cent each.
On those numbers, National would have 45 seats, and Act would have 13. They would need NZ First’s 7 seats to govern.
Labour would have 37 seats, the Greens would get 15 and Te Pāti Māori would have 3.
The poll was taken between August 24-30, a period that covered Hipkins’ ruling-out of governing with NZ First, but missed the fallout from National’s tax plan which was released on August 30.
Latest poll shows National, Act need support of NZ First to form Govt
Shows party share of 120 seats in Parliament based on the latest Talbot Mills poll. At least 61 seats are needed to form a majority.
It is the second bad poll for Labour today. The Post-Freshwater Strategy poll had Labour on 26 per cent, well behind National on 36 per cent.
The Greens were on 12 per cent, Act was on 11 per cent and Te Pāti Māori was on 3 per cent.
While the poll was bad news for Labour, it showed a hung Parliament overall.
Hipkins said that poll was “taken a few weeks ago before the campaign had even launched”.
“The campaign’s just getting under way. A poll is a poll and nobody’s voted yet. So we’ve still got plenty to do over the next five-and-a-half weeks."
The general election will be held on Saturday, October 14.
