Latest poll shows surge of support for Green Party

Green Part co-leaders Marama Davidson (L) and Chloe Swarbrick. Photo: RNZ
Green Part co-leaders Marama Davidson (L) and Chloe Swarbrick. Photo: RNZ
By Lillian Hanly of RNZ

The Greens have received a surge of support in a new poll, with the party nearly doubling its vote since April and nudging the left bloc into a position to govern if an election was held on Wednesday.

The latest Talbot Mills poll, commissioned by Anacta, shows the Green Party on 13% - up four percentage points since May. In April, the party was at 7%.

Talbot Mills is the traditional pollster for the Labour Party. The poll has Labour on 34%, down two points since May. National is steady on 29%, as it has been for the past three months.

New Zealand First has dropped two points since May and is now at 12%, just below the Greens.

Act NZ dropped one point, sitting just above the 5% threshold to make it back into Parliament at 6%. It is expected the party will win an electorate seat and safely make it back into Parliament.

Te Pāti Māori is at 2.6%, up from 2.2% in May, and the Opportunity Party is on 3.3%, up from 2.8%.

On these numbers, the coalition parties would receive 47% support. Using the Electoral Commission's MMP seat calculator, that results in 59 seats - not enough to govern.

The left bloc would receive 49% support, or 61 seats, just enough to form a government.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins remains ahead of Christopher Luxon as preferred prime minister, but only by a point. Hipkins is on 21%, down from 23% in May and 26% in March.

Luxon remains steady on 20%, where he has sat since April. Winston Peters has dropped three points to 14%.

The poll also showed more voters disapprove of the coalition government - 51% - compared with 42% approval.

The poll was taken between 1-10 June and has a margin of error of 3.1%.

This story was first published on rnz.co.nz

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