A typical summer is expected in New Zealand and for Dunedin that means regular rainfall and warm temperatures.
Seasonal rainfalls, soil moisture levels and river flows are all likely to be near normal in all regions of the country, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) climate centre's outlook for November to January says.
Principal climate scientist Dr James Renwick said La Nina conditions had redeveloped in the tropical Pacific, and weak to moderate La Nina conditions were likely to continue through the summer.
For Dunedin that meant "typical" rainfall of about 70mm a month (until recently the city had not experienced more than 12mm a month since May) and slightly warmer than the normal late-teen to early 20degC temperatures, he said.
"With a nor'wester, it would get warmer than that. You can expect the usual mix."
Inland Otago would be drier and warmer, he said. It was the driest part of the country during summer, with less than 30mm expected and temperatures in the 20degCs, with the occasional 30degC-plus day.
"That would be a typical summer day."
Nationally, westerlies were expected to be weaker and there was less chance of a tropical cyclone passing close to New Zealand than normal.
