Democracy the winner in 'Arab Spring' election

A man, with an inked finger, flashes the victory sign as he celebrates with the new Libyan flag...
A man, with an inked finger, flashes the victory sign as he celebrates with the new Libyan flag at the end of the vote in Sirte last Saturday. Photos by Reuters.
The good news about last weekend's election in Libya, as relayed by the Western media, was that the "Islamists" were defeated and the Good Guys won. The real good news was that democracy in the Arab world is still making progress, regardless of whether voters choose to support secular parties or Islamic ones.

The Libyan election was remarkably peaceful, given the number of heavily armed militias left over from the war to overthrow the Gaddafi dictatorship that still infests the country. Turnout was about 60%, and Mahmoud Jibril, who headed the National Transitional Council during last year's struggle against Gaddafi, won a landslide victory.

Jibril, whose National Forces Alliance was a broad coalition of diverse political, tribal and ethnic groups, denied it was a "secular" party - a necessary posture in a deeply religious and conservative society like Libya's - but it certainly was not an Islamic party. Yet it won 78% of the vote in Tripoli, the capital, and 58% even in the oil-rich east.

Mahmoud Jibril, head of the National Forces Alliance, speaks during a news conference at his...
Mahmoud Jibril, head of the National Forces Alliance, speaks during a news conference at his headquarters in Tripoli last Sunday.
The explicitly Islamic parties, the Justice and Development Party (Muslim Brotherhood) and Al-Watan, did far worse than they expected, getting barely 20% of the vote in Benghazi, the big city in the east. But they should not have been surprised.

In Tunisia to Libya's west and Egypt to the east, the Muslim Brotherhood was the mainstay of resistance to the dictatorships for decades, and it paid a terrible price for its bravery. It was natural for voters in those countries to reward Islamic parties when the tyrants were finally overthrown. Gaddafi was more ruthless and efficient in crushing all opposition in Libya, and the Muslim Brotherhood had scarcely any local presence.

So Libya gets a "secular" government, while Tunisia and Egypt get "Islamic" governments - but the point is they all get democratically elected governments, and stand a reasonable chance of becoming countries that respect human rights and the rule of law.

Tunisia, indeed, has already made that transition, and Egypt, with one-third of the population of the Arab world, is heading in that direction, too.

The relevant question is not whether a party is Islamic; it is whether it is democratic. The distinguishing feature of the Islamic parties that have emerged in post-revolutionary Arab countries is they have almost all chosen barely modified versions of the name of Turkey's ruling Islamic party, the Justice and Development (AK) Party.

The AK party has governed Turkey with remarkable success for the past 10 years. The economy has flourished, the army has finally been forced to stop intervening in politics, and you can still buy a beer almost anywhere in Istanbul.

AK is a socially conservative party, of course, like Germany's Christian Democratic Party or the Republican Party (aka the White Christian Party) in the United States. But, like those parties, it respects the constitution, civil rights and the voters' choice. It is hardly surprising its leader and Turkey's prime minister, Recep Tayyib Erdogan, was greeted as a hero when he visited Cairo shortly after the revolution.

There is no good reason to believe Islamic parties in Arab countries will behave worse than "secular" parties, any more than we would worry if a "secular" party in Germany were about to lose to a "Christian" party. In fact, the Christian Democratic Party currently leads the coalition government in Germany, and civil rights are still safe.

The Western prejudice against Islamic parties (and local prejudice as well) comes from a confusion between Islamic and "Islamist" groups, the latter being the English word for fanatical groups that reject democracy and advocate violent jihad against infidels and "heretical" Muslims. This confusion, sad to say, is often deliberately encouraged by Western and local interests that know better, but want to discredit those who oppose them.

It didn't work in Egypt, where the Muslim Brotherhood's party won both the parliamentary and the presidential elections. This did not please the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces and its allies from the old regime, and they arranged for the Egyptian Supreme Court (whose members were all appointed by the old regime) to dismiss the new Parliament on a flimsy constitutional pretext just two days before the presidential election last month.

Then, as the voters were actually casting their ballots, the army also stripped the office of the president of its right to control the armed forces, gave itself the right to impose new laws, and declared it would choose the group which writes the new constitution. It was a coup implicitly justified by the rise of the "Islamic menace" - and some secular Egyptian politicians, disgracefully, have gone along with it.

Egypt's newly elected president, Mohamed Morsi, has refused to accept the army's decrees, and a delicate game is in progress in Cairo in which he is trying to discredit the soldiers and gradually drive them back into their barracks without risking an open confrontation that could trigger an actual military coup. He will probably win in the end, because the army knows the masses would be back in Tahrir Square if it did try a coup.

And if Egyptians don't like what their Islamic government does, they can always vote it out again at the next election.

Gwynne Dyer is an independent London journalist.

 

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