Bangladesh's semifinal hopes at the Cricket World Cup have been vanquished this morning, falling to a 28-run defeat to India in Birmingham.
Set 315 to win, Bangladesh fell just short, mustering 286 all out as India secured their spot in the semifinals, and eliminated their rivals.
That leaves Pakistan as the only team who can now knock New Zealand out of the semifinals - and it will take an incredibly unlikely set of circumstances for that to occur.
If the Black Caps beat England in Chester-le-Street, they will be locked in to travelling to Birmingham, where they would either play India or Australia in the 2 v 3 semifinal.
If the Black Caps lose to England, then Pakistan would have to beat Bangladesh in their final game, while also improving their net run rate (-0.792) to a point where it surpasses New Zealand's (0.572).
To emphasise how unlikely that is, such a turnaround would require the margins of victory in both games to be roughly 220 runs - so even if the Black Caps are thrashed by England, Pakistan would still need to produce a historic performance to knock New Zealand out of the semifinals.
Pakistan's best hope would come in the form of the Black Caps tipping over England, leaving Pakistan free of net run rate concerns, and only needing to beat Bangladesh to jump England into the fourth and final semifinal spot.
India, meanwhile, are set to finish in the top two, after holding off a late Bangladesh charge this morning.
Rohit Sharma smashed his fourth century of this year's tournament and featured in a massive 180-run opening partnership with KL Rahul to help India to a commanding 314-9.
Shakib Al Hasan struck a defiant 66 but the lack of partnerships hurt Bangladesh, who were all out for 286 in 48 overs with Bumrah (4-55) sealing the victory by claiming two wickets with the final two deliveries.
India are now second with 13 points, one behind leaders Australia, while Bangladesh are seventh with seven points.
"Bangladesh played some really good cricket and deserve credit for the fight they put up," said India captain Virat Kohli. "We had to work hard for the win and we're happy to see a Q (qualified) in front of our name now."
Earlier, Rohit combined with Rahul (77) for the highest opening partnership at this year's tournament to give India a strong foundation after they elected to bat.
Things could have been vastly different though had Tamim Iqbal not spilled Rohit, then on nine, at midwicket off Mustafizur Rahman who went on to return 5-59.
Rohit capitalised on the reprieve to smash a 92-ball 104, equalling Sri Lankan Kumar Sangakkara's record of four hundreds in a single World Cup, which earned him the man-of-the-match.
The opener clobbered five of the seven sixes in the Indian innings, besides seven fours, and overtook Australian David Warner as the leading scorer at this tournament.
Soumya Sarkar ended the ominous-looking partnership in the 30th over when Rohit mistimed his drive.
Rahul joined him in the pavilion after bringing up his second half-century of this tournament.
MIDDLE ORDER STRUGGLES
Kohli made 26, his first sub-50 score in his last six innings, and India's middle order again struggled to get going.
Rishabh Pant, who made 48 off 41 balls, scored freely but India could not really capitalise on the fine start.
Mahendra Singh Dhoni made 35 but once again failed to launch a late assault which could have taken India past the 350-mark which had looked well within their reach at one stage.
India played two wicketkeepers -- Pant and Dinesh Karthik -- as specialist batsmen to beef up their misfiring middle order but the woes persisted.
A strong start was imperative to chase down a 300-plus target and Bangladesh were understandably cautious as they embarked on trying to repeat their upset victory against India at the 2007 World Cup.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar, returning from a hamstring injury, and Bumrah kept it tight up front but Mohammed Shami drew the first blood for India by dismissing Tamim for 22.
Fellow opener Soumya Sarkar could not convert the start he got into a big innings either, hitting Hardik Pandya straight to Kohli at short extra cover to depart for 33.
Shakib brought up his sixth 50-plus score at the tournament but wickets kept tumbling at the other end.
Mohammad Saifuddin (51 not out) and Sabbir Rahman (36) forged the only 50-plus partnership in the Bangladesh innings but they never really threatened to pull off a difficult chase.
"It was a good effort - Mustafizur bowled well - but if one of the batsmen could have got to 80 or 90 it might have been different," Bangladesh captain Mashrafe Mortaza said.
"We were asking too much in the end. A bit of luck didn't go our way either."
With Reuters
